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china silk association: analysis of economic operation of the silk industry in the first quarter of 2011
china silk association: analysis of economic operation of the silk industry in the first quarter of 2011
add time:2014-07-15    read:2802
comprehensive industry performance and running environment analysis in the first quarter, is expected in the second quarter of 2011 on the operation of the silk industry in general better than the same period last year, industrial production and exports will continue to maintain a small increase, industry economic benefit is rising steadily;cocoon supply concentration, ease the contradiction between supply and demand of raw materials. 
1 ~ 3 months in 2011, the silk industry overall is good, the efficiency has increased, but the future is still face challenges such as export situation complex, raw material prices upward, various elements costs rise, may intensify the pressure on the production and operation of an enterprise.

 the main products of the production increase the profit of the industry rising steadily

1 ~ 3 months in 2011, according to china silk association to the cocoon production system, 115 companies, silk production 2113 tons, 1 ~ 3 month fell 21.04% year on year, silks and satins output of 13.42 million meters, fell 46.5% year on year, silk clothing 19.21 million, year-on-year growth of 1.14%, the yield of silk by 291600, up 55.52% from a year earlier.

according to the national bureau of statistics of 2065 industrial enterprises above designated size, 1 ~ 3 months silk industry to realize the output value of 40.49 billion yuan, up 26.3% from a year earlier.main business income is 39.36 billion yuan, up 30.8%;profit is 1.47 billion yuan, up 15.9% from a year earlier, the filature processing profit of 470 million yuan, up 50.53% from a year earlier, silk processing profit of 570 million yuan, up 54.6% from a year earlier, printing dyeing processing profit of 090 million yuan, up 273.7% from a year earlier.

1 to 3, 2011 silk industry profit situation (ten thousand yuan)

 

 

raw material export prices rise clothing reduction amount rise price falls 

 according to customs statistics, 1 ~ 3 months silk goods exports of $848 million, up 20.89% from a year earlier.silk products exports of 4096 tons, up 0.45% from a year earlier, the export amount is $173 million, up 44.51% from a year earlier, the unit price year-on-year growth of 43.83%, in which steam filature exports of 1325 tons, up 5.7% from a year earlier, the amount of $69.79 million, up 64.71%;silk silk export amount of 52.26 million meters, fell 8.29% year on year, the amount of $237 million, an increase of 24.06%, the price growth of 35.12%, including grey silk export amount of 38.82 million meters, fell 9.82% year on year, the export amount is $163 million, up 25.38% from a year earlier, the unit price up 39.07%;silk clothing and products exports of $437 million, up 12.06% from a year earlier.

affected by the cocoon silk raw materials prices, silk and satin yuanliaoxing commodity export price increase greatly, 43.83% and 39.07% respectively, and the number of silk commodities export growth of only 0.45%, silk export volume fell 8.29% year on year, visible silk yuanliaoxing commodity exports this year still in last year's price rise quantity reduction pattern. 

in october 2010 to march 2011 compared to the pure silk clothing export quantity, amount

 

silk garment exports rise price falls, in january 2011, the pure silk clothing export finally get rid of low consolidation pattern, export quantity 124.91% surge, back in february and march continue to maintain strong growth, but the average prices continue to decline.export unit price fell 77.7% year-on-year in march (mainly knitting underwear export surge caused by low value), suggests that commodity prices failed to effectively transfer in the downstream industry.

influenced by international market demand, coupled with a lower base in the first quarter of last year, in the first quarter from a year ago there was a significant growth, but look from 1 ~ 3 months year-on-year exports data, export amount in january, up 7.31% in december 2010, the decline of 52.21% in february from january, march year-on-year growth of 54.95% in february, still larger swings up and down. 

from export provinces and cities in the top 10, 1 ~ 3 traditional silk export in five provinces and cities in zhejiang, guangdong, jiangsu, shanghai, sichuan has more than 10% growth, growth was 55.78%, and the largest in guangdong totaled $729 million, five provinces and cities of the country's 86.01% of the total amount of export;shandong, chongqing and other provinces and cities more substantial increase 29.84% and 29.84% respectively, as a new bright spot for export.
from export market, the traditional silk goods sales market in the united states, india, italy, year-on-year growth of 21.2%, 66.07% and 34.69%, respectively, japan and our country hong kong area increased by 45.91% and 45.91% respectively;exports to emerging markets, the united arab emirates, pakistan has remained strong growth momentum, the growth rate of 80.89% and 80.89% respectively.represented by the united states each silk sales market consumer demand has surged, silk commodities export in china will rise to the important role.
bave been prices to record highs
since 2011, the cocoon silk raw materials prices after small step back in january, steadily rising trend continues in 2 ~ 4 month, by the end of april, the domestic dry cocoon and raw silk (aaa) futures price 130600 yuan/ton and 130600 yuan/tons of record, the year up 8.29% and 13.14%, respectively.

in october 2010 ~ april 2011 dried cocoon price movements

main factors of cocoon price has several aspects: first, it is the international silk market rebound in demand, the domestic market consumption of large quantities of silk silk products such as silk by sales booming, rigid demand and potential demand continues to increase, and since the last silk raw material supply is not loose, lead to higher prices have steadily.second,it is the indian customs a public announcement on march 30, to reduce its tariffs for domestic manufacturing of imported raw materials, the raw silk (not twist) customs basic tax rate from 30% to 5%, this is great for domestic raw silk market.third,it is due to the international market inflation expectations this year, gold, silver, oil and other commodity prices continue to rise sharply, direct stimulation of including silkworm cocoon, prices of agricultural products.four is due to the cocoon silk raw materials production cost is increased, for future expected increase in the price of the silk reeling enterprises rised his goods, is clearly up for grabs.many factors comprehensive overlay, cocoon silk prices this year's performance is quite strong, did not appear cotton prices fell back quickly.
challenges and opportunities coexist in the second quarter of the situation will be better than the same period last year
integrated the current international and domestic macroeconomic situation, industry development still exist many uncertainty factors: first, the international financial crisis deeply influence continues.second, the international trade protectionism, trade friction is more likely.again, the cost of domestic various elements into the central rise, further intensify the pressure on enterprise management.in addition, the dollar exchange rate to new high, the rmb appreciation continues to expand, the exchange rate fluctuation significantly increase the risk.at the same time, the reserve requirements for banks and the lending and deposit rates raised many times in a row, and increasing the enterprise financing difficulty and cost.raw material supply is still tight and cocoon silk, the price is high for a long time, to prevent price adjustment risks, enterprises have to reduce raw material inventory, lead to capacity cannot effectively play.
industry also has favorable factors: first, the international economy continues to recover, rebounding, consumer demand is expected to boost exports continue to grow;the domestic economy maintained steady growth, industry development environment continue to improve;countries on various policy measures to stimulate consumption, improve people's livelihood, is conducive to further expand the domestic consumption silk.secondly, cocoon price rises, sericulturist earnings increase, greatly stimulate the enthusiasm sericulturist kind of mulberry sericulture.long cocoon supplies is expected to gradually ease the contradiction.again, silk products constantly, domestic market has huge potential.finally, the weak links in silk industry, this year, countries will continue to intensify policy support, the main support of silkworm diseases and insect pests control, comprehensive utilization of resources development, clean production, energy conservation and emissions reduction, silk silk printing and dyeing finishing processing and upgrade, marketing model innovation and cocoon soft research and other fields.
comprehensive industry performance and running environment analysis in the first quarter, is expected in the second quarter of 2011 on the operation of the silk industry in general better than the same period last year, industrial production and exports will continue to maintain a small increase, industry economic benefit is rising steadily;cocoon supply concentration, ease the contradiction between supply and demand of raw materials, silk price upward pressure;various elements costs rise, may intensify the pressure on the production and operation of an enterprise.



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